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Red44
28989.7
281110.8
26356.9
Blue48
255716.2
142512.6
29289.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283201020405060704448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#12
10.80.3
10.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
16.20.2
14.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.70.3
9.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1425
#18
12.60.2
10.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2635
#20
6.90.3
7.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2928
#25
9.60.2
7.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End