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Red71
198331.4
212223.8
40824.0
Blue41
366312.3
321913.5
396816.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574320807141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.2
30.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
16.80.0
17.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.80.2
23.123.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
3219
#27
13.50.0
13.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4082
#46
4.00.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
12.30.0
12.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End