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Red30
290713.5
212223.8
21488.4
Blue14
125810.5
159510.5
40175.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2615010203040503014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
14.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
1258
#20
10.50.0
8.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.50.2
9.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
10.50.0
4.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2148
#10
8.40.3
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4017
#24
5.40.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End