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Red15
412010.4
29263.7
290713.5
Blue16
16955.3
408910.7
7019.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201301030401516

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.50.2
9.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4089
#15
10.70.2
6.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4120
#12
10.40.4
5.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
701
#22
9.20.2
5.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2926
#41
3.70.4
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1695
#31
5.30.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End