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Red18
35871.4
94813.5
38602.2
Blue19
321913.5
29150.8
159510.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171901030401819

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#18
13.50.1
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3219
#27
13.50.0
10.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3860
#42
2.20.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
10.50.0
7.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3587
#44
1.40.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2915
#45
0.80.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End