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Red48
292816.0
16955.3
396816.8
Blue36
29235.7
214710.9
35136.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271501020405060704836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.0
12.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2147
#21
10.91.0
8.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2928
#11
16.01.0
13.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
3513
#40
6.61.5
3.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1695
#31
5.31.6
1.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2923
#25
5.71.5
4.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End