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Red18
16960.6
131811.7
94813.5
Blue67
396816.8
348311.4
408910.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2631010204050601867

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#18
13.50.4
13.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
16.81.8
13.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
#32
11.70.4
12.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
11.41.8
9.411.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1696
#47
0.60.5
0.5-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
4089
#15
10.71.8
7.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End