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Red8
7019.2
412010.4
29415.4
Blue24
366312.3
396816.8
321913.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364310203050607080824

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#13
15.40.5
15.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
16.80.3
17.116.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4120
#12
10.40.5
10.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3219
#27
13.50.3
13.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
701
#22
9.20.5
9.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
12.30.3
12.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End