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Red46
205634.1
15142.2
18462.3
Blue35
131012.9
285214.5
40697.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35261020304050604635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.6
30.030.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
2852
#17
14.50.5
13.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#26
2.30.9
3.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
12.90.8
9.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1514
#20
2.20.9
0.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
4069
#12
7.70.8
2.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End