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Red53
111429.4
33966.7
40697.7
Blue7
270210.3
40391.4
28096.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38180103050607080537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.8
24.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
2702
#15
10.30.8
10.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#12
7.71.1
6.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2809
#21
6.20.6
6.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3396
#18
6.71.1
5.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
4039
#16
1.40.8
1.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End