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Red12
40697.7
40391.4
18462.3
Blue13
150314.2
15353.8
28096.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1125020304050601213

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#12
7.70.1
7.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
14.20.6
14.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#26
2.30.1
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2809
#21
6.20.6
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4039
#16
1.40.1
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3.80.7
4.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End