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Red31
37391.3
111429.4
40391.4
Blue18
2888.1
41521.3
316116.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2815010204050603118

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.2
23.423.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
16.80.2
5.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4039
#16
1.40.2
2.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
288
#24
8.10.1
5.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3739
#27
1.30.2
2.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
4152
#29
1.30.2
3.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End