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Red35
83010.8
24012.9
12509.1
Blue28
83510.6
364111.7
10769.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3031010204050603528

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#21
12.90.1
11.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3641
#36
11.70.1
11.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
#16
10.80.1
9.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
835
#12
10.60.1
10.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9.10.1
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
9.40.1
9.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End