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Red45
35353.6
233718.6
12509.1
Blue39
35364.5
83010.8
42164.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2315010203040504539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.1
16.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
830
#16
10.81.2
7.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.11.1
5.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
4216
#30
4.81.2
1.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3535
#17
3.61.1
2.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3536
#39
4.51.2
6.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End