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Red0
34153.6
37736.7
15027.6
Blue15
37681.1
6812.2
34144.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1914010304050015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#26
7.60.9
6.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
68
#13
12.20.0
10.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3773
#23
6.71.5
7.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3414
#20
4.60.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3415
#33
3.60.9
4.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3768
#32
1.10.0
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End