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Red16
30022.8
34153.6
37704.9
Blue48
309814.2
30812.7
7036.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727020304050601648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#38
4.90.4
3.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
3098
#14
14.21.0
14.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3415
#33
3.60.4
2.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
308
#11
12.71.0
6.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3002
#27
2.80.4
0.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
703
#8
6.61.0
5.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End