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Red8
37681.1
36685.9
30812.7
Blue40
666.4
309814.2
168415.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183201040506070840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#11
12.70.5
7.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
15.10.4
11.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3668
#40
5.90.8
6.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
3098
#14
14.20.4
15.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3768
#32
1.10.8
3.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
66
#28
6.40.4
5.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End