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Red29
6812.2
364111.7
30022.8
Blue36
21532.5
42948.5
168415.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2421010304050602936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#13
12.20.2
11.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
15.10.7
12.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3641
#36
11.70.4
10.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
8.50.7
7.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3002
#27
2.80.2
2.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2153
#29
2.50.7
2.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End