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Red58
216925.4
248122.4
16710.5
Blue98
282623.0
4822.0
26913.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58562040801005898

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#11
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
23.00.7
22.323.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
48
#2
22.00.7
21.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
167
#12
10.50.0
10.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
269
#25
13.70.8
12.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End