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Red22
937.5
9309.8
16710.5
Blue35
42479.5
41438.0
173215.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152101030402235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#12
10.50.5
5.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
15.50.7
15.516.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
930
#20
9.80.5
5.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4247
#21
9.51.2
2.94.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
93
#36
7.50.4
5.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
8.01.2
2.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End