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Red20
39630.3
171610.6
13068.5
Blue36
28306.8
341811.8
216925.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132701020304050602036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.60.6
5.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
2169
#11
25.40.5
18.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1306
#27
8.50.6
5.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
11.80.7
5.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3963
#46
0.30.6
2.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
2830
#17
6.80.7
3.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End