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Red30
248122.4
171610.6
22029.6
Blue15
9309.8
16759.2
203914.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15190103040503015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.0
7.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
2039
#37
14.80.5
5.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.61.0
4.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
930
#20
9.80.5
5.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2202
#38
9.61.0
6.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1675
#29
9.20.4
9.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End