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Red16
28306.8
21948.4
39630.3
Blue18
1717.4
12599.8
43713.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11150520253035401618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#42
8.40.4
4.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1259
#16
9.80.3
5.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2830
#17
6.80.4
3.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
171
#28
7.40.3
7.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3963
#46
0.30.4
3.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
4371
#44
3.00.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End