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Red3
41742.3
42479.5
33524.5
Blue0
40952.0
39630.3
20401.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10905152030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4247
#21
9.50.6
5.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4095
#47
2.00.8
1.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3352
#35
4.50.6
4.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2040
#32
1.80.8
4.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4174
#23
2.30.6
0.1-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3963
#46
0.30.8
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End