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Red49
96717.4
173215.5
28306.8
Blue12
22029.6
10914.9
35968.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3321010304050604912

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#3
17.40.8
14.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
2202
#38
9.60.8
8.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.50.8
14.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
3596
#34
8.40.8
6.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2830
#17
6.81.2
4.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1091
#31
4.90.8
6.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End