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Red18
40427.7
1905.6
320516.6
Blue36
44107.4
206718.3
34995.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3126102040501836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#13
16.61.0
16.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
18.30.7
17.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4042
#30
7.71.0
8.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4410
#20
7.40.7
5.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
190
#22
5.61.0
6.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3499
#23
5.50.7
3.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End