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Red6
31824.9
34995.5
22813.6
Blue2
5497.8
23705.9
20641.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91102030405062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#6
13.60.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
549
#24
7.80.8
4.94.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3499
#23
5.50.4
2.11.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2370
#17
5.90.8
3.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4.90.4
2.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2064
#34
1.30.8
3.72.8
Auto
Teleop
End