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Red8
34214.3
26735.0
19984.1
Blue40
36686.5
364117.7
102510.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143201020405060840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5.00.3
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
17.70.4
16.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3421
#13
4.30.3
4.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1025
#11
10.80.4
9.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1998
#33
4.10.3
6.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3668
#38
6.50.4
6.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End