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Red50
102324.7
26735.0
364117.7
Blue3
37680.9
26198.4
37075.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33170103040506070503

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.8
22.523.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
2619
#12
8.40.7
7.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.70.9
11.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
3707
#22
5.70.7
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.00.8
0.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
3768
#40
0.90.7
1.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End