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Red41
36055.4
309611.7
364117.7
Blue21
37735.0
86217.1
25919.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130102040504121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.5
16.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
862
#17
17.10.4
16.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3096
#15
11.70.5
9.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
9.60.4
7.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3605
#29
5.40.5
4.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3773
#27
5.00.4
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End