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Red0
46045.9
47514.1
460615.4
Blue33
47196.3
77111.9
420524.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165504080100120140160033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4606
#14
15.47.8
15.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
4205
#13
24.60.8
27.126.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4604
#27
5.91.8
6.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
771
#22
11.90.8
17.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4751
#11
4.11.8
6.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
4719
#23
6.31.3
4.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End