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Red46
16914.6
21631.7
35272.9
Blue6
46330.7
47514.1
33543.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382106080100120466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#5
31.70.5
25.426.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.6
4751
#11
4.11.4
4.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1691
#20
4.60.9
5.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3354
#17
3.91.4
10.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3527
#25
2.90.9
5.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4633
#24
0.71.4
8.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End