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Red58
77111.9
21631.7
177226.8
Blue95
46256.9
47196.3
133458.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725402040801001201401605895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#5
31.70.5
26.425.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.5
58.21.9
51.353.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
26.80.5
27.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
4625
#15
6.93.2
3.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
#22
11.90.5
14.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
4719
#23
6.33.2
1.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End