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Red0
33543.9
47713.8
32789.7
Blue119
18708.8
133458.2
177226.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4100501502000119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3278
#18
9.71.3
10.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 48.6
58.21.7
55.957.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3354
#17
3.91.3
4.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
26.81.7
24.025.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4771
#19
3.81.4
3.92.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1870
#21
8.82.7
4.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End