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Red179
95542.1
467311.2
25476.2
Blue69
450123.8
445036.1
44719.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12749010015020025017969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#23
76.23.2
71.474.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.1
4450
#11
36.10.4
32.733.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
#33
42.13.2
36.339.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
4501
#78
23.80.4
23.123.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4673
#76
11.23.2
6.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4471
#90
9.00.4
5.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End