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Red109
361225.4
30088.6
331049.3
Blue135
186830.5
91032.7
240826.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77764060100120140109135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#19
49.31.7
43.144.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
910
#45
32.72.9
29.031.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3612
#41
25.41.7
22.924.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1868
#35
30.52.9
26.429.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#60
8.61.7
9.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
2408
#52
26.42.9
22.525.4
Auto
Teleop
End