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Red143
467311.2
270541.0
86870.9
Blue141
406725.4
175650.4
1160.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117130050100150200250300350143141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
70.91.2
69.370.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
11
#24
60.10.7
57.057.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2705
#27
41.01.2
39.841.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1756
#66
50.40.7
46.346.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4673
#76
11.21.2
10.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
4067
#63
25.40.7
24.725.4
Auto
Teleop
End