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Red161
2064.7
213750.5
453712.2
Blue151
83639.8
84040.6
208128.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269750150200161151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#10
64.72.0
62.564.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
840
#81
40.62.5
38.240.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2137
#29
50.52.0
48.550.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
836
#16
39.82.5
37.339.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4537
#77
12.22.0
10.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
2081
#67
28.82.5
26.328.8
Auto
Teleop
End