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Red100
91032.7
304433.4
161021.4
Blue114
80138.2
23639.8
314536.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65105050150200100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#53
33.41.4
21.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
236
#13
39.81.0
32.533.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#45
32.71.4
24.025.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
801
#68
38.20.8
37.137.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1610
#100
21.41.4
25.927.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
3145
#14
36.40.8
29.330.1
Auto
Teleop
End