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Red45
80138.2
159531.4
183618.7
Blue106
31448.4
216540.4
475323.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210105015020045106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#68
38.22.4
37.835.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
314
#46
48.40.3
49.449.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1595
#91
31.42.4
32.530.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
2165
#30
40.40.4
36.536.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1836
#65
18.72.4
23.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4753
#31
23.20.3
14.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End