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Red154
98790.2
186830.5
110036.3
Blue105
304433.4
31649.1
261435.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810450200250154105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#3Sur
90.20.6
73.273.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 41.1
316
#21
49.10.3
50.750.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
#17
36.30.6
42.242.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2614
#80
35.40.3
33.633.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1868
#35
30.50.6
26.126.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3044
#53Sur
33.40.3
26.826.5
Auto
Teleop
End