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Red142
201645.6
30088.6
84040.6
Blue128
246849.5
458915.5
475323.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8164050100150200142128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#48
45.63.2
38.141.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
49.53.1
39.642.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
840
#81
40.63.2
35.538.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
4753
#31
23.23.1
14.417.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#60
8.63.2
4.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
4589
#62
15.53.1
12.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End