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Red98
83639.8
171428.5
179633.7
Blue136
445036.1
259067.4
270420.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110705015020098136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#16
39.80.6
33.634.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.7
2590
#22
67.41.6
61.863.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1796
#47
33.70.6
30.130.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4450
#11
36.11.8
27.829.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1714
#61
28.50.6
21.822.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
2704
#83
20.41.6
13.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End