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Red158
70148.8
84632.0
97355.6
Blue174
241553.8
12661.2
2064.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116161050100200250300158174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#26
55.61.8
47.248.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
20
#10
64.71.0
56.257.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
701
#20
48.81.8
46.848.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
126
#6
61.21.0
51.652.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
846
#86
32.01.8
28.930.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
53.81.0
45.646.7
Auto
Teleop
End