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Red152
248636.8
166022.2
25476.2
Blue87
91032.7
179633.7
159531.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1248205010015020015287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#23
76.21.7
66.067.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 42.5
1796
#47
33.70.1
30.730.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2486
#28
36.81.7
31.032.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
910
#45
32.70.1
26.226.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1660
#56
22.22.1
20.322.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
1595
#91
31.40.1
31.431.3
Auto
Teleop
End