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Red156
29127.8
171428.5
98790.2
Blue182
1160.1
331439.5
2064.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11715950100200250156182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#3
90.21.6
77.579.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.5
20
#10
64.71.5
57.358.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1714
#61
28.51.6
22.123.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.6
11
#24
60.11.5
58.159.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
291
#39
27.81.6
23.725.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
3314
#12
39.51.5
37.038.5
Auto
Teleop
End