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Red52
186830.5
324532.4
161021.4
Blue183
175650.4
445036.1
133461.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8113705010020025030052183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#72
32.41.9
36.134.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.8
1334
#42
61.22.7
57.560.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
#35
30.51.9
28.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
1756
#66
50.42.7
41.243.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1610
#100
21.41.9
25.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
4450
#11
36.12.7
29.432.1
Auto
Teleop
End