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Red125
52544.8
295958.3
473114.0
Blue143
159531.4
449927.2
426554.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114104050150200250125143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#25
58.30.6
55.756.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
4265
#18
54.81.9
49.651.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
525
#36
44.80.6
43.043.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
1595
#91
31.41.9
31.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4731
#94
14.00.6
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
4499
#82
27.21.9
24.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End