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Red159
12661.2
5147.3
17235.4
Blue123
80138.2
45457.0
86870.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138105050150200250159123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#6
61.21.3
52.654.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
868
#5
70.90.6
69.470.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
51
#43
47.31.3
44.746.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
801
#68
38.20.6
35.035.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
172
#75
35.41.3
35.136.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.4
4545
#89
7.00.6
5.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End