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Red130
447015.2
151946.9
70148.8
Blue104
208128.8
248636.8
463719.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10964050150200250130104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#20
48.81.4
48.650.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
2486
#28
36.81.6
32.834.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1519
#50
46.91.4
44.345.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
2081
#67
28.81.6
21.523.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4470
#57
15.21.4
9.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
4637
#69
19.21.6
16.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End